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Risk · Portfolio analysis guide

How risky is your stock portfolio?

Risk is not one number. Ask whether returns justified the fluctuations, how deep the falls became, and whether large holdings tended to move together.

Separate the rough ride from the deepest fall

Volatility measures how widely returns fluctuated, including upward moves. Sharpe relates return above a risk-free reference to that variability. Maximum drawdown measures the deepest observed peak-to-trough fall. A stronger Sharpe ratio does not guarantee a smaller loss along the way.

Compare all three over matching dates. An average cannot tell you how a particular downturn felt, and a historical maximum is not a limit on future losses.

Read the trade-off, not just the ratio

From the real demo · Everyday Growth5Y · Holdings backtest

A stronger Sharpe ratio, but a deeper fall

Everyday Growth
RETURN
+24.0%
VOLATILITY
25.4%
S&P 500
RETURN
+12.6%
VOLATILITY
17.2%
Everyday Growth · Max drawdown
-34.1%
S&P 500 · Max drawdown
-24.5%

Everyday Growth recorded a Sharpe ratio of 0.86, compared with 0.57 for S&P 500. Its largest recorded fall was 34.1%, compared with 24.5%.

Interpretation: The stronger return efficiency did not make the worst downturn easier. Judging only the ratio would miss the deeper fall experienced by this allocation.

FMP data through Saved 5Y analysis · not actual transactions

Check your own portfolio

Correlations add a different question: could several important holdings move together? Read each relationship alongside its allocation weight. Correlation with the benchmark describes market tracking; it does not establish that the holdings are independent.

  1. Read Sharpe with its return and volatility inputs. Check whether the extra variability came with proportionately stronger historical return.
  2. Inspect the deepest fall, its dates and any recorded recovery. A recovery outside the observed window remains unknown.
  3. Examine the largest closely linked positions. Spreading exposure may change both the downside and upside; these measures do not determine your personal capacity for loss.

See the evidence behind the score

Explore the saved example’s risk analysis, then decide what you want to examine in your own portfolio.